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Tests of general relativity with gravitational-wave observations from merging compact binaries continue to confirm Einstein’s theory of gravity with increasing precision. However, these tests have so far been applied only to signals that were first confidently detected by matched-filter searches assuming general relativity templates. This raises the question of selection biases: What is the largest deviation from general relativity that current searches can detect, and are current constraints on such deviations necessarily narrow because they are based on signals that were detected by templated searches in the first place? In this paper, we estimate the impact of selection effects for tests of the inspiral phase evolution of compact binary signals with a simplified version of the gstlal search pipeline. We find that selection biases affect the search for very large values of the deviation parameters, much larger than the constraints implied by the detected signals. Therefore, combined population constraints from confidently detected events are mostly unaffected by selection biases, with the largest effect being a broadening at the ∼10% level for the −1  PN term. These findings suggest that current population constraints on the inspiral phase are robust without factoring in selection biases. Our study does not rule out a disjoint, undetectable binary population with large deviations from general relativity or stronger selection effects in other tests or search procedures. 

On 2023 May 29, the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration observed a compact binary coalescence event consistent with a neutron star–black hole merger, though the heavier object of mass $$2.5-4.5\, {\rm M}_{\odot }$$ would fall into the purported lower mass gap. An alternative explanation for apparent observations of events in this mass range has been suggested as strongly gravitationally lensed binary neutron stars. In this scenario, magnification would lead to the source appearing closer and heavier than it really is. Here, we investigate the chances and possible consequences for the GW230529 event to be gravitationally lensed. We find this would require high magnifications and we obtain low rates for observing such an event, with a relative fraction of lensed versus unlensed observed events of $$2\times 10^{-3}$$ at most. When comparing the lensed and unlensed hypotheses accounting for the latest rates and population model, we find a $1/58$ chance of lensing, disfavouring this option. Moreover, when the magnification is assumed to be strong enough to bring the mass of the heavier binary component below the standard upper limits on neutron star masses, we find high probability for the lighter object to have a subsolar mass, making the binary even more exotic than a mass-gap neutron star–black hole system. Even when the secondary is not subsolar, its tidal deformability would likely be measurable, which is not the case for GW230529. Finally, we do not find evidence for extra lensing signatures such as the arrival of additional lensed images, type-II image dephasing, or microlensing. Therefore, we conclude it is unlikely for GW230529 to be a strongly gravitationally lensed binary neutron star signal. 

Abstract LISA, the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna, will usher in a new era in gravitational-wave astronomy. As the first anticipated space-based gravitational-wave detector, it will expand our view to the millihertz gravitational-wave sky, where a spectacular variety of interesting new sources abound: from millions of ultra-compact binaries in our Galaxy, to mergers of massive black holes at cosmological distances; from the early inspirals of stellar-mass black holes that will ultimately venture into the ground-based detectors’ view to the death spiral of compact objects into massive black holes, and many sources in between. Central to realising LISA’s discovery potential are waveform models, the theoretical and phenomenological predictions of the pattern of gravitational waves that these sources emit. This White Paper is presented on behalf of the Waveform Working Group for the LISA Consortium. It provides a review of the current state of waveform models for LISA sources, and describes the significant challenges that must yet be overcome. 

Abstract The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) has the potential to reveal wonders about the fundamental theory of nature at play in the extreme gravity regime, where the gravitational interaction is both strong and dynamical. In this white paper, the Fundamental Physics Working Group of the LISA Consortium summarizes the current topics in fundamental physics where LISA observations of gravitational waves can be expected to provide key input. We provide the briefest of reviews to then delineate avenues for future research directions and to discuss connections between this working group, other working groups and the consortium work package teams. These connections must be developed for LISA to live up to its science potential in these areas.